EU Referendum Result - predictions

[Copps is Magic]

One of my friends on facebook who works for DMBC is saying its 50/50 in Donny.

[BillyStubbsTears]

I'm still sticking to 54-46 Remain.

[Filo]

One of my friends on facebook who works for DMBC is saying its 50/50 in Donny.

I've been working today, I've had 71 fares and not one person has said they voted to remain

[Copps is Magic]

No expert, but I expect there will be substantial geographic differences in voting pattern. Donny, if I were to guess, will have one of the highest vote leave percentages.

[Bentley Bullet]

I reckon generally speaking those content with their wealth will vote remain so as not to risk what they've already got, and those who aren't will vote leave, because they'll surmise they've got now't to lose.

[Colemans Left Hook]

Been out canvassing in Sheffield. I don't like drawing stereotypes but it was quite stunning how people split into two groups.

I had nothing to identify the side I supported. But in every case, the people who turned out to be Remain supporters were open and chatty from the moment they answered the door, whereas the Leavers were the ones who opened the door a crack and immediately had a suspicious look on their faces.

Without exception.

That is actually very troubling.

you are almost qualifying for free porridge in a morning !!!

* The BBC stops short of actually encouraging people to vote.

* While the polls are open, it is a criminal offence for anyone, not just broadcasters, to publish anything about the way in which people have voted in the referendum, where that is based on information given by voters after they have voted.

* The BBC can't report anything emerging from exit polls (which, by definition, are asking people how they actually voted), although the broadcasters have not commissioned any exit polls for the referendum.

* No opinion poll on any issue relating to the referendum can be published by broadcasters until after the polls have closed.


I HOPE NONE OF THE OPINIONS YOU ASKED WERE FROM POLES !!!!!!

it does say no opinion poles !!!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-politics-36570120

[BillyStubbsTears]

Coleman

Aaannnddd off we go again.

Tell me where I have said anything about the way people have voted? Numbers? Identifications? Addresses?

I've said that some people I spoke to were Remain supporters. Some were Leave supporters.

You're excelling yourself this time at putting together 2 and 2 and making the square root of f**k all.

[MrFrost]

A comfortable victory for remain.

[Metalmicky]

I lied to my neighbours also, but I voted remain....

[BillyStubbsTears]

The demographic splits between the Leave and Remain camps are startling.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/22/eu-referendum-which-type-of-person-wants-to-leave-and-who-will-b/

Generally, there is a striking correlation between how young and highly educated someone is, and their likelihood to support Remain.

There is a very strong correlation between the paper someone reads and how likely they are to be in each of the camps.

That actually quite scares me. We are split down the middle on class, age and education lines. That's probably the cleavage between those who feel themselves to be part of the success of globalisation and those who feel that it has brought them nothing but trouble.

How you go about healing that, God only knows.

[dknward2]

My wife works in a bank in donny and only 2 people have told her that they are voting to stay in.

i believe we will stay in but certain areas like Donny will vote out, which will close the gap 56% - 44%

[Dutch Uncle]

The demographic splits between the Leave and Remain camps are startling.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/22/eu-referendum-which-type-of-person-wants-to-leave-and-who-will-b/

Generally, there is a striking correlation between how young and highly educated someone is, and their likelihood to support Remain.

There is a very strong correlation between the paper someone reads and how likely they are to be in each of the camps.

That actually quite scares me. We are split down the middle on class, age and education lines. That's probably the cleavage between those who feel themselves to be part of the success of globalisation and those who feel that it has brought them nothing but trouble.

How you go about healing that, God only knows.

I saw a forerunner of that fascinating article a couple of weeks ago

The Northern Ireland thing is a little more complex - Unionists are strongly in favour (ca 70%) of Brexit, nationalists are even more in favour of remain (ca 80%), and other parties (Alliance, Green) are also in favour of remain.

It might be SNP, Plaid Cymru and Sinn Fein that keep us in!

[Prez]

In my line of work i have a large client base in Doncaster and Barnsley and no exaggeration id say 80% of who i spoke to were voting out.

Think will remain will win 52.4% but will be amazed if Donny has a majority to stay in.

[roversron]

I'm a taxi driver like filo and have not had 1 person say they are voting remain. I think donny is definitely a leave area but suspect that remain will just win.

[Copps is Magic]

Anyone know how they will announce the results? Is it council by council, is constituency level or what?

[Copps is Magic]

Found the answer to my own question, it's local area authority.

[bobjimwilly]

From what I read earlier there will only be 12 regions announcing results, which have been collected from local counting officers. Final result expected between 4am and 7am.

[dknward2]

Will this be tonight or first thing does anyone know

Thanks bob posted as i was trying to post

[wilts rover]

Here you go Copps, bit of light reading for you whilst you wait for the results to come in:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36044026

[bobjimwilly]

From what I read earlier there will only be 12 regions announcing results, which have been collected from local counting officers. Final result expected between 4am and 7am.

Watching the BBC coverage now and in fact there are 382 results expected to be announced.

[The Red Baron]

The demographic splits between the Leave and Remain camps are startling.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/22/eu-referendum-which-type-of-person-wants-to-leave-and-who-will-b/

Generally, there is a striking correlation between how young and highly educated someone is, and their likelihood to support Remain.

There is a very strong correlation between the paper someone reads and how likely they are to be in each of the camps.

That actually quite scares me. We are split down the middle on class, age and education lines. That's probably the cleavage between those who feel themselves to be part of the success of globalisation and those who feel that it has brought them nothing but trouble.

How you go about healing that, God only knows.

I saw a forerunner of that fascinating article a couple of weeks ago

The Northern Ireland thing is a little more complex - Unionists are strongly in favour (ca 70%) of Brexit, nationalists are even more in favour of remain (ca 80%), and other parties (Alliance, Green) are also in favour of remain.

It might be SNP, Plaid Cymru and Sinn Fein that keep us in!

It's a wonderful paradox, isn't it? Nationalists who want to escape from the English / British Yoke but want to remain tied to the Brussels one!

[BillyStubbsTears]

TRB

Or people who want to part of a loose, large federation rather than a very tightly centralised rump of empire?

[RedJ]

Apparently only 24% turnout in Doncaster and a Leave majority.

Can't believe turnout will have actually been that low though.

[TheFunk]

Being an exile from Donny, I find it hard to believe an area that has benefited so much from Europe could really vote to leave. Where would the town I was born and raised in until my early teens, and still love, be without European money.

Living in North Yorkshire everyone I know has voted leave. Worryingly they all seem to have fallen for the great immigration lie. Probably due to the fear factor when you can go weeks without seeing a non white British person.

[RedJ]

Bloody Europeans, coming over here and funding our infrastructure.

[BillyStubbsTears]

It's a general kicking out against what is seen as a monolithic establishment.

It's wrong, but I understand it.

[Copps is Magic]

Early whispers from Newcastle and Sunderland don't sound good for remain.

[Lipsy]

Marginal Remain in Newcastle... 

[Copps is Magic]

They were expecting a much higher % for remain in Newcastle.

[RedJ]

Something worth considering - a lot of students will no longer be at their term time addresses and so will have voted in their "home" districts. Could explain what happened in Newcastle.