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No BST, that makes no sense, why would you only want the bottom 3 to get as least as possible, making the 4th bottom potentially get more, to make the safe 5th from bottom harder to get.. You want all 4 relegation places to get as small a tally as possible...
For what it is worth as a comparison, in the 36 seasons since 3 points per win in this League, 4th bottom has ranged between 43 and 54 points (average 48.5), and 5th bottom has ranged between 45 and 54 (average 50.6). Every season had 46 games.So 54 is the highest to be relegated and 45 the lowest to survive. Of course everything above does not allow for any points deductions.
Quote from: adamtherover on April 08, 2018, 12:10:22 pmQuote from: ravenrover on April 08, 2018, 11:46:28 amAdam read the post properly, the key word is "mathematically", and we are not talking about just the bottom 4 winning all their games. Glad you are so confident, me I just want us 4 points clear when we play WiganContinue to read the post even more carefully and you will come across the key sentence, "there's still plenty of work to be done" that's the kicker. So the current safe position we are in isn't really all that safe . When someone is talking about 61 pts, 60 pts etc.. when never in the history of ever has that amount been needed. Statistically 48 is enough based on the huge amount of games played all ready.. everyone needs to relax....I think what is meant is that there is more work to be done by a combination of our own results and opponents of relegation threatened teams helping to bridge that 11 point mathematical gap with a combination of our points won and other teams’ points lost. It may be all 11 can come from the latter.
Quote from: ravenrover on April 08, 2018, 11:46:28 amAdam read the post properly, the key word is "mathematically", and we are not talking about just the bottom 4 winning all their games. Glad you are so confident, me I just want us 4 points clear when we play WiganContinue to read the post even more carefully and you will come across the key sentence, "there's still plenty of work to be done" that's the kicker. So the current safe position we are in isn't really all that safe . When someone is talking about 61 pts, 60 pts etc.. when never in the history of ever has that amount been needed. Statistically 48 is enough based on the huge amount of games played all ready.. everyone needs to relax....
Adam read the post properly, the key word is "mathematically", and we are not talking about just the bottom 4 winning all their games. Glad you are so confident, me I just want us 4 points clear when we play Wigan
Quote from: Dutch Uncle on April 08, 2018, 01:05:13 pmQuote from: adamtherover on April 08, 2018, 12:10:22 pmQuote from: ravenrover on April 08, 2018, 11:46:28 amAdam read the post properly, the key word is "mathematically", and we are not talking about just the bottom 4 winning all their games. Glad you are so confident, me I just want us 4 points clear when we play WiganContinue to read the post even more carefully and you will come across the key sentence, "there's still plenty of work to be done" that's the kicker. So the current safe position we are in isn't really all that safe . When someone is talking about 61 pts, 60 pts etc.. when never in the history of ever has that amount been needed. Statistically 48 is enough based on the huge amount of games played all ready.. everyone needs to relax....I think what is meant is that there is more work to be done by a combination of our own results and opponents of relegation threatened teams helping to bridge that 11 point mathematical gap with a combination of our points won and other teams’ points lost. It may be all 11 can come from the latter.Correct DU until we are mathematically safe there is work to be done
My prediction that a side could stay up on 46 points is looking dodgy.
Quote from: BillyStubbsTears on April 08, 2018, 07:31:48 pmMy prediction that a side could stay up on 46 points is looking dodgy. you wont be far off bst, 4th from bottom won't better 47 pts..
I don't really care what the mathematics are, the team should be still firing on all cylinders and showing they have the heart and desire to finish this season on the highest total possible in order to show the previous capitulations are a thing of the past.