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Quote from: Chris Black come back on February 18, 2024, 06:44:55 pmQuote from: dickos1 on February 18, 2024, 06:07:33 pmQuote from: NickDRFC on February 18, 2024, 06:05:33 pmQuote from: Chris Black come back on February 18, 2024, 02:11:34 pmThere are literally point predictions next to each game. They did not appear by act of god. 8 prediction were made for the 8 games in that run that have been played and half (4) of them were wrong.To be fair if he’d put £10 on each result with the bookies he’d be up overall. 50% success rate really isn’t bad in that context, but in terms of overall points it’s not very good.But with two games to go that points could be bang on After 8 of these 10 games played, it is well wide. And the predictions were wrong in 50pc of the games played.This follows hot on the heel of the separate prediction that we would get 18 points from the following run of games, when we have with one game of this run to go, just 4 points:Doncaster v Bradford Notts Co v Doncaster Mansfield v Doncaster Doncaster v MK Dons Harrogate v Doncaster Doncaster v Newport Co Bradford v Doncaster Doncaster v Stockport Yes you kept us upto date with that one, strange that you haven’t with this one.
Quote from: dickos1 on February 18, 2024, 06:07:33 pmQuote from: NickDRFC on February 18, 2024, 06:05:33 pmQuote from: Chris Black come back on February 18, 2024, 02:11:34 pmThere are literally point predictions next to each game. They did not appear by act of god. 8 prediction were made for the 8 games in that run that have been played and half (4) of them were wrong.To be fair if he’d put £10 on each result with the bookies he’d be up overall. 50% success rate really isn’t bad in that context, but in terms of overall points it’s not very good.But with two games to go that points could be bang on After 8 of these 10 games played, it is well wide. And the predictions were wrong in 50pc of the games played.This follows hot on the heel of the separate prediction that we would get 18 points from the following run of games, when we have with one game of this run to go, just 4 points:Doncaster v Bradford Notts Co v Doncaster Mansfield v Doncaster Doncaster v MK Dons Harrogate v Doncaster Doncaster v Newport Co Bradford v Doncaster Doncaster v Stockport
Quote from: NickDRFC on February 18, 2024, 06:05:33 pmQuote from: Chris Black come back on February 18, 2024, 02:11:34 pmThere are literally point predictions next to each game. They did not appear by act of god. 8 prediction were made for the 8 games in that run that have been played and half (4) of them were wrong.To be fair if he’d put £10 on each result with the bookies he’d be up overall. 50% success rate really isn’t bad in that context, but in terms of overall points it’s not very good.But with two games to go that points could be bang on
Quote from: Chris Black come back on February 18, 2024, 02:11:34 pmThere are literally point predictions next to each game. They did not appear by act of god. 8 prediction were made for the 8 games in that run that have been played and half (4) of them were wrong.To be fair if he’d put £10 on each result with the bookies he’d be up overall. 50% success rate really isn’t bad in that context, but in terms of overall points it’s not very good.
There are literally point predictions next to each game. They did not appear by act of god. 8 prediction were made for the 8 games in that run that have been played and half (4) of them were wrong.
Quote from: dickos1 on February 18, 2024, 07:54:41 pmQuote from: Chris Black come back on February 18, 2024, 06:44:55 pmQuote from: dickos1 on February 18, 2024, 06:07:33 pmQuote from: NickDRFC on February 18, 2024, 06:05:33 pmQuote from: Chris Black come back on February 18, 2024, 02:11:34 pmThere are literally point predictions next to each game. They did not appear by act of god. 8 prediction were made for the 8 games in that run that have been played and half (4) of them were wrong.To be fair if he’d put £10 on each result with the bookies he’d be up overall. 50% success rate really isn’t bad in that context, but in terms of overall points it’s not very good.But with two games to go that points could be bang on After 8 of these 10 games played, it is well wide. And the predictions were wrong in 50pc of the games played.This follows hot on the heel of the separate prediction that we would get 18 points from the following run of games, when we have with one game of this run to go, just 4 points:Doncaster v Bradford Notts Co v Doncaster Mansfield v Doncaster Doncaster v MK Dons Harrogate v Doncaster Doncaster v Newport Co Bradford v Doncaster Doncaster v Stockport Yes you kept us upto date with that one, strange that you haven’t with this one.It's all there above - 50pc of the predictions have been wrong. And the overall total is a mile off.
Quote from: GazLaz on February 18, 2024, 06:40:07 pmQuote from: dickos1 on February 18, 2024, 02:04:36 pmQuote from: GazLaz on February 18, 2024, 11:01:00 amQuote from: dickos1 on February 18, 2024, 08:59:00 amQuote from: dickos1 on December 26, 2023, 09:03:08 pmQuote from: normal rules on December 26, 2023, 08:58:41 pmQuote from: Padge_DRFC on December 26, 2023, 08:48:19 pmQuote from: normal rules on December 26, 2023, 08:30:10 pm£200 is about right for a non league ST.We won't go down for sure.Where's all the top half finish betters gone? When we get beat Friday the odds will be even better. Then it's time to put it on. I respect your optimism Padge.But let’s put some numbers to it shall we?What’s your points tally for the following games? Mine are shown. Mk. 0Harrogate 1Newport 1Bradford 0Stockport 0Sutton 3Tranmere 1Salford 3Grimsby 1Wimbledon. 0So that’s another 10 points between now and end of feb. 2 wins 4 draws.And I think I’m being optimistic. 34 points. And desperate for more to survive before season end.Mk dons 3 Harrogate 1 Newport 3Bradford 0Stockport 0Sutton 3 Tranmere 3Salford 1 Grimsby 1 Wimbledon 3 I took some stick for these predictions, but they don’t look so wildly optimistic anymore You predicted 17 points and we are odds on to finish on 11 or 12. Massively out really. You think we’re odds on to get 0 or 1 point from the two remaining games? We are 15/8 to win the game which means we are 8/15 not to win. That’s odds on. We’ve 2 games left not 1 though
Quote from: dickos1 on February 18, 2024, 02:04:36 pmQuote from: GazLaz on February 18, 2024, 11:01:00 amQuote from: dickos1 on February 18, 2024, 08:59:00 amQuote from: dickos1 on December 26, 2023, 09:03:08 pmQuote from: normal rules on December 26, 2023, 08:58:41 pmQuote from: Padge_DRFC on December 26, 2023, 08:48:19 pmQuote from: normal rules on December 26, 2023, 08:30:10 pm£200 is about right for a non league ST.We won't go down for sure.Where's all the top half finish betters gone? When we get beat Friday the odds will be even better. Then it's time to put it on. I respect your optimism Padge.But let’s put some numbers to it shall we?What’s your points tally for the following games? Mine are shown. Mk. 0Harrogate 1Newport 1Bradford 0Stockport 0Sutton 3Tranmere 1Salford 3Grimsby 1Wimbledon. 0So that’s another 10 points between now and end of feb. 2 wins 4 draws.And I think I’m being optimistic. 34 points. And desperate for more to survive before season end.Mk dons 3 Harrogate 1 Newport 3Bradford 0Stockport 0Sutton 3 Tranmere 3Salford 1 Grimsby 1 Wimbledon 3 I took some stick for these predictions, but they don’t look so wildly optimistic anymore You predicted 17 points and we are odds on to finish on 11 or 12. Massively out really. You think we’re odds on to get 0 or 1 point from the two remaining games? We are 15/8 to win the game which means we are 8/15 not to win. That’s odds on.
Quote from: GazLaz on February 18, 2024, 11:01:00 amQuote from: dickos1 on February 18, 2024, 08:59:00 amQuote from: dickos1 on December 26, 2023, 09:03:08 pmQuote from: normal rules on December 26, 2023, 08:58:41 pmQuote from: Padge_DRFC on December 26, 2023, 08:48:19 pmQuote from: normal rules on December 26, 2023, 08:30:10 pm£200 is about right for a non league ST.We won't go down for sure.Where's all the top half finish betters gone? When we get beat Friday the odds will be even better. Then it's time to put it on. I respect your optimism Padge.But let’s put some numbers to it shall we?What’s your points tally for the following games? Mine are shown. Mk. 0Harrogate 1Newport 1Bradford 0Stockport 0Sutton 3Tranmere 1Salford 3Grimsby 1Wimbledon. 0So that’s another 10 points between now and end of feb. 2 wins 4 draws.And I think I’m being optimistic. 34 points. And desperate for more to survive before season end.Mk dons 3 Harrogate 1 Newport 3Bradford 0Stockport 0Sutton 3 Tranmere 3Salford 1 Grimsby 1 Wimbledon 3 I took some stick for these predictions, but they don’t look so wildly optimistic anymore You predicted 17 points and we are odds on to finish on 11 or 12. Massively out really. You think we’re odds on to get 0 or 1 point from the two remaining games?
Quote from: dickos1 on February 18, 2024, 08:59:00 amQuote from: dickos1 on December 26, 2023, 09:03:08 pmQuote from: normal rules on December 26, 2023, 08:58:41 pmQuote from: Padge_DRFC on December 26, 2023, 08:48:19 pmQuote from: normal rules on December 26, 2023, 08:30:10 pm£200 is about right for a non league ST.We won't go down for sure.Where's all the top half finish betters gone? When we get beat Friday the odds will be even better. Then it's time to put it on. I respect your optimism Padge.But let’s put some numbers to it shall we?What’s your points tally for the following games? Mine are shown. Mk. 0Harrogate 1Newport 1Bradford 0Stockport 0Sutton 3Tranmere 1Salford 3Grimsby 1Wimbledon. 0So that’s another 10 points between now and end of feb. 2 wins 4 draws.And I think I’m being optimistic. 34 points. And desperate for more to survive before season end.Mk dons 3 Harrogate 1 Newport 3Bradford 0Stockport 0Sutton 3 Tranmere 3Salford 1 Grimsby 1 Wimbledon 3 I took some stick for these predictions, but they don’t look so wildly optimistic anymore You predicted 17 points and we are odds on to finish on 11 or 12. Massively out really.
Quote from: dickos1 on December 26, 2023, 09:03:08 pmQuote from: normal rules on December 26, 2023, 08:58:41 pmQuote from: Padge_DRFC on December 26, 2023, 08:48:19 pmQuote from: normal rules on December 26, 2023, 08:30:10 pm£200 is about right for a non league ST.We won't go down for sure.Where's all the top half finish betters gone? When we get beat Friday the odds will be even better. Then it's time to put it on. I respect your optimism Padge.But let’s put some numbers to it shall we?What’s your points tally for the following games? Mine are shown. Mk. 0Harrogate 1Newport 1Bradford 0Stockport 0Sutton 3Tranmere 1Salford 3Grimsby 1Wimbledon. 0So that’s another 10 points between now and end of feb. 2 wins 4 draws.And I think I’m being optimistic. 34 points. And desperate for more to survive before season end.Mk dons 3 Harrogate 1 Newport 3Bradford 0Stockport 0Sutton 3 Tranmere 3Salford 1 Grimsby 1 Wimbledon 3 I took some stick for these predictions, but they don’t look so wildly optimistic anymore
Quote from: normal rules on December 26, 2023, 08:58:41 pmQuote from: Padge_DRFC on December 26, 2023, 08:48:19 pmQuote from: normal rules on December 26, 2023, 08:30:10 pm£200 is about right for a non league ST.We won't go down for sure.Where's all the top half finish betters gone? When we get beat Friday the odds will be even better. Then it's time to put it on. I respect your optimism Padge.But let’s put some numbers to it shall we?What’s your points tally for the following games? Mine are shown. Mk. 0Harrogate 1Newport 1Bradford 0Stockport 0Sutton 3Tranmere 1Salford 3Grimsby 1Wimbledon. 0So that’s another 10 points between now and end of feb. 2 wins 4 draws.And I think I’m being optimistic. 34 points. And desperate for more to survive before season end.Mk dons 3 Harrogate 1 Newport 3Bradford 0Stockport 0Sutton 3 Tranmere 3Salford 1 Grimsby 1 Wimbledon 3
Quote from: Padge_DRFC on December 26, 2023, 08:48:19 pmQuote from: normal rules on December 26, 2023, 08:30:10 pm£200 is about right for a non league ST.We won't go down for sure.Where's all the top half finish betters gone? When we get beat Friday the odds will be even better. Then it's time to put it on. I respect your optimism Padge.But let’s put some numbers to it shall we?What’s your points tally for the following games? Mine are shown. Mk. 0Harrogate 1Newport 1Bradford 0Stockport 0Sutton 3Tranmere 1Salford 3Grimsby 1Wimbledon. 0So that’s another 10 points between now and end of feb. 2 wins 4 draws.And I think I’m being optimistic. 34 points. And desperate for more to survive before season end.
Quote from: normal rules on December 26, 2023, 08:30:10 pm£200 is about right for a non league ST.We won't go down for sure.Where's all the top half finish betters gone? When we get beat Friday the odds will be even better. Then it's time to put it on.
£200 is about right for a non league ST.
Dickos. I think the issue is that you ALWAYS err on the high side. That's what people pick you up on.This time you've been close. Well done on that. But you've still erred on the high side. Your predictions would be more convincing if you sometimes underestimated the outturn. If that never happens, they look more like hopeful guesses, which, occasionally will nearly be right.
[There's literally no arguing that./quote]BST, normally, that statement would not be contested, but with Dickos?
Dickos.Err. You DID err on the high side. There's literally no arguing that.